Thursday, May 27, 2010

Lakers-Suns Game 5 Preview & Breaking the 2-3 Zone

 (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
After losing another game to the Phoenix Suns, the Lakers should be very concerned. The loss by only nine points in Game 4 hides the fact that the Lakers, if it weren't for Kobe Bryant hitting ridiculous (& bad) shots, should have lost by 20+ points.The Lakers are not doing a good job guarding the pick-and-roll and have been unable to adjust to the Suns' 2-3 zone.

106 points for the Lakers is good, but they cannot expect to win if they give up 115. To make matters worse, Nash & Stoudemire didn't have huge games. Instead, the Suns' bench did the majority of the damage in the second and fourth quarters.

When defending against the Suns, you need long/athletic shootings guard and small forwards to rotate to shooters, fill gaps, and pick-up big men on screen-rolls. The Lakers only have three players (Odom, Bryant, and Brown) who fit this build. 

The Lakers’ zone offense also leaves them in a bad spot because they usually have a guard in the corner (Fisher) who has to catch up to a guard that’s defensing near or above the free-throw line. This has lead to some bad switches and open perimeter shots for the Suns as the Lakers scramble to match-up on defense.

LA can try a few different things to mix things up against the Suns. I'm not sure if any of these options will shut the Suns down but they're decent options since what they're currently doing isn't working:

1.    Switch Kobe and Fisher so that Kobe guards Nash & Fisher guards Jason Richardson. This could slow down the Nash-Stoudemire pick-and-roll. The Suns could then try to post Richardson against Fisher. This is okay because it gets the Suns out of pick-and-roll situations, prevents Richardson from launching 3's, and might not work because Fisher is a crafty defender.

2.    Put Ron Artest on Nash or Stoudemire. Artest might be able to do a decent job on Stoudemire either in the post or if he has to switch onto Stoudemire when he's guarding Nash. Right now, Artest isn’t too involved in the defense since he’s just chasing Hill and Richardson around the perimeter.

3.    A really radical option would be to play some sort of zone (3-2?). This seems like a good idea since the high screen-roll is pointless against two guards who will just switch. The problem with the zone is that it often yields open shots & a variety of opportunities for teams like the Suns with good wing players (Richardson, Barbosa, Hill, & Dudley). But trying this out for a few plays, LA could slow the Suns down for a few moments and would also allow Gasol & Bynum to stay near the paint where they can protect the hoop. The Suns' offense is designed to expose their advantage over Bynum & Gasol who have trouble guarding Stoudemire when he's dribbling at them.

Bynum

Yes, everyone knows that Bynum is injured. His injury should be a major concern for the Lakers for both the remainder of this series and if they advance to face Orlando or Boston. His knee is preventing him from extending and making quick moves on offense. Bynum could be causing problems if he could rotate on defense and also move quickly through the Suns' zone defense. They could try using Powell and Benga who could cause some problems.

Breaking the 2-3 Zone

Despite the Suns' 2-3 zone, the Lakers have still been productive in both road games (109 and 106 points). So, again, the zone is a problem but they need to make more improvements on defense. Here’s an excellent breakdown of what the Lakers are doing wrong:



A few takeaways from the video:
- The key to breaking the zone is the decision made by the player who gets it in the high post. He will have two or three defenders converging on him (see video at 0:30) so he can either drive or pass to someone cutting. Since the Lakers are still getting used to attacking the zone, the high-post player has been reluctant or uncomfortable with making the right move.

- At 1:49 Ron Artest panics as defenders converge on him. He then takes a shot while driving into three defenders. If Ron passes to the right,Lamar Odom is wide open and Grant Hill will be forced to chase Lamar or leave Gasol open under the hoop.

- At 2:22 Lamar cuts too far to the low-block and the makes another mistake when he meets the pass to high and far from the high-post. If he stays in the paint and comes to the high-post he has an open shot or he can drive right to the hoop. Instead of moving into the high-post he moved into positions used in the triangle offense.

- At 4:42 Kobe gets the ball at the high-post as two defenders converge on him. For the Lakers to beat the zone Lamar must cut more aggressively into the weak-side opening. At this point, Kobe could have made an easy pass to Lamar. But Lamar didn’t cut quickly and the pass is more difficult because Dragic gets in the way. If the pass gets through, Lamar has a bunch options since a 3-2 advantage has been created. He can shoot, drive, or pass to Shannon Brown who will be open in the corner. Again, the main problem is that the Lakers are not comfortable with attacking the 2-3 zone. Lamar is too slow or reluctant to cut and Kobe’s not sure he can make the pass even though it looks like there’s enough room.

The 2-3 zone can be broken when two things happen:
1) The ball is entered into the high-post
2) The ball then gets swung to someone cutting through the other high-post on the weak-side. This player will then have a 3-2 advantage where he can shoot, pass, or drive.

Game 5 Prediction

My earlier prediction of the Lakers winning in six could still happen. But as I anticipated in that post, the injury to Bynum is really hurting LA. In Game 5, look for the Lakers to play better defense and do a better job of executing on offense. I don’t anticipate that the Suns’ bench will be as productive as they were in Game 4. The Lakers will also make a few adjustments, shoot better, and take advantage of playing at home.

5 comments:

  1. Great Blog Arun!

    I'll be sure to include it in my NBA sites to visit. The 2-3 has made Lakers post-up advantage in games 1 & 2 a non-factor. Lakers have been getting only 1 or 2 post up passes per quarter... the majority of Odom's and Bynum's shots coming from defensive breakdowns and put backs.

    And a phenomenal offensive game by Kobe (one of his best this Playoffs) hides what was a lopsided victory by Suns. Kobe single-handedly kept the Lakers competitive in the 2nd & 3rd Quarter.

    As often happens against the Suns, the combo of the Suns' Zone defense and quick offense got the Lakers to play a Suns style game as LA was settling for their jumpers and rarely penetrating or posting up. Luckily Kobe was hitting from the outside and guys like Derek and Farmar were decent from 15 feet and out... but, overall, this was super poor execution by the Lakers.

    Another concern was how much the Lakers were paying attention to the wing and point positions on Defense. Pau and Bynum were hovering at the 3-point line leaving the middle completely open for the Suns to attack. Considering how open it was, the Lakers go lucky that Suns kept on looking for their own 3s.

    Lakers need to go back to what works: running the triangle through the low and high post which will lead to more easy baskets rather than having everyone spot up for jumpers.

    Both series are getting competitive!

    Lakers must win tonight. And whoever wins Game 6 in the East wins that series (I am POSITIVE Celtics will not win a game 7 in Orlando)!

    -MPB (Robert from Porter Jr. High)

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  3. Hey Bob,
    LA played better in first half. They're still struggling against the zone but they're definitely doing better.

    They're switching the high pick-and-roll leaving Gasol & Bynum on Nash. Somehow this hasn't hurt them too much as the other Suns haven't had open 3's to hit.

    The main advantage, as you pointed out, is that they've been able to control the tempo and not play Suns basketball.

    ...back to the game!

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  4. Arun:
    Yup, really happy to see the Lakers work it into the Zone better. But what's up with Pau Gasol!? I can't pass out of the zone to save his life! As soon as he's double teamed in the post he's throwing it away. I'm pretty shocked by that particularly when you consider how dominant he was in games 1 & 2 and that he's a European baller (where, I assume, the Zone is utilized more often).

    Looking forward to Celtics Vs. Lakers. I'm particularly interested in the Rondo Vs. Fisher matchup (assuming Rondo's fall doesn't slow him down). Fisher's playing some great ball... but those speed/slasher guards typically are tough for him (i.e. Tony Parker, Chris Paul). With Rondo having an amazing Playoffs, it'll be fun to see how that goes.

    Artest will hopefully show how his acquisition makes us a better team by making Paul Pierce's life hell. :-)

    Kobe's looking as deadly as ever.

    Only concern (and it's a pretty big one) is how Bynum performs in the Finals.

    Hopefully the Lakers will make up for that soft 2008 Finals and defeat the Celtics.

    Looking forward to Thursday,

    MPB

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  5. Just posted my Finals preview, check it out. Rondo shouldn't be a problem for LA if they put Kobe on him. Give Rondo the jump shot & keep him out of the paint. I don't think Rondo can beat the Lakers with jumpers. Kobe is going to have a huge series unless the Celtics make some changes...try a zone? If Bynum's injured LA loses or barely wins in 6 or 7.

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